Nacional vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CCP
3 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
CCP
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 4
GUA
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 0
OLI
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 2
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GEN
0 - 2
LIB
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
IND
1 - 3
GEN
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 1
SPT
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |