Nacional vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 5
NAC
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
5 - 6
2DE
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
12O
4 - 2
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
NAC
5 - 2
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
LQE
2 - 1
NAC
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FER
1 - 2
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
LQE
2 - 3
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
TAC
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LIB
5 - 1
FER
78%
16%
7%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
CCP
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |