Qualifying stages Copa Libertadores Segunda Fase. Final

Global 4-0

Nacional vs At. Nacional analysis

Nacional At. Nacional
79 ELO 80
-5% Tilt -13.4%
463º General ELO ranking 350º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.3%
Nacional
25.9%
Draw
32.7%
At. Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
Nacional
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.7%
Win probability
At. Nacional
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nacional
-11%
-9%
At. Nacional

ELO progression

Nacional
At. Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nacional
Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2024
NAC
Nacional
2 - 1
Sportivo Trinidense
SPT
43%
26%
31%
78 78 0 0
16 Feb. 2024
NAC
Nacional
3 - 0
Aucas
AUC
38%
26%
36%
77 80 3 +1
12 Feb. 2024
LQE
Sportivo Luqueño
2 - 0
Nacional
NAC
48%
26%
26%
78 78 0 -1
09 Feb. 2024
AUC
Aucas
1 - 0
Nacional
NAC
54%
24%
22%
78 80 2 0
02 Feb. 2024
NAC
Nacional
1 - 4
Guaraní
GUA
43%
27%
31%
79 79 0 -1

Matches

At. Nacional
At. Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
CAL
Deportivo Cali
3 - 2
At. Nacional
NAC
36%
28%
37%
80 77 3 0
12 Feb. 2024
NAC
At. Nacional
0 - 1
Millonarios
MIL
51%
25%
24%
80 80 0 0
09 Feb. 2024
PAT
Patriotas Boyacá
0 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
22%
27%
51%
80 70 10 0
05 Feb. 2024
AGU
Águilas Doradas
0 - 3
At. Nacional
NAC
45%
26%
29%
80 80 0 0
02 Feb. 2024
NAC
At. Nacional
1 - 1
Once Caldas
ONC
62%
22%
16%
80 75 5 0
X