Nacional vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 2
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 4
NAC
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
VEL
35%
27%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
OLI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 2
NOB
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
ARS
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BOC
4 - 2
ARS
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 0
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 1
LAN
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |