Nacional AM vs Rio Negro AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1974 |
SPO
0 - 2
NAC
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 2
ATM
27%
29%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAN
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1974 |
AMF
0 - 1
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 2
CEB
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Negro AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1974 |
RIO
1 - 1
COR
25%
31%
44%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAN
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1974 |
SAN
3 - 0
RIO
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1974 |
RIO
1 - 0
FOR
42%
28%
29%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
RIO
1 - 0
GUA
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |