Nacional AM vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
REM
3 - 2
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
REM
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
NAC
16%
20%
64%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAU
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
RIO
24%
24%
53%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
NAU
0 - 0
RIO
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |