Nacional AM vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 3
NAC
23%
22%
56%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 0
PRI
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 0
NAC
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
OPE
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FAS
3 - 0
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
FAS
2 - 0
IRA
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 2
FAS
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FAS
0 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
FAS
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 0
FAS
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -2 |