Nacional AC MG vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 0
NAC
30%
24%
45%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
FCB
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BET
0 - 2
NAC
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ULU
1 - 1
NAC
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEM
43%
23%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
DEM
2 - 0
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DEM
1 - 1
DEM
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
DEM
2 - 0
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
DEM
3 - 1
TUP
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEM
43%
23%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |