Eerste Divisie round 3

NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax analysis

NAC Breda Jong Ajax
67 ELO 54
3.9% Tilt 10.6%
741º General ELO ranking 1892º
25º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
68.2%
NAC Breda
19.3%
Draw
12.5%
Jong Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
NAC Breda
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.5%
Win probability
Jong Ajax
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NAC Breda
-7%
-12%
Jong Ajax

ELO progression

NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2015
EIN
FC Eindhoven
2 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
51%
24%
25%
67 69 2 0
07 Aug. 2015
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 4
FC Volendam
VOL
49%
24%
28%
68 63 5 -1
01 Aug. 2015
EUP
KAS Eupen
4 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
51%
24%
26%
68 71 3 0
17 Jul. 2015
KVC
KVC Westerlo
1 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
48%
24%
28%
68 68 0 0
11 Jul. 2015
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 4
Zulte-Waregem
ZUL
31%
24%
45%
68 75 7 0

Matches

Jong Ajax
Jong Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2015
JON
Jong Ajax
1 - 1
Helmond Sport
HEL
42%
24%
34%
55 57 2 0
07 Aug. 2015
ACH
Achilles 29
2 - 1
Jong Ajax
JON
39%
24%
36%
56 52 4 -1
08 May. 2015
JON
Jong Ajax
1 - 1
TOP Oss
FCO
36%
24%
40%
55 59 4 +1
01 May. 2015
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 1
Jong Ajax
JON
78%
14%
7%
55 76 21 0
24 Apr. 2015
JON
Jong Ajax
0 - 2
Helmond Sport
HEL
51%
23%
26%
56 55 1 -1