NAC Breda vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
GRO
1 - 3
NAC
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
PSV
3 - 0
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
GRO
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
UTR
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
RKC
0 - 1
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SCH
2 - 0
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 2
OBK
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 2
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SCH
4 - 2
GRO
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2006 |
OSA
0 - 0
SCH
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |