NAC Breda vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
SPA
1 - 1
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
RJC
0 - 0
NAC
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
VIT
4 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
56%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 0
TWE
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
UTR
1 - 0
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
TWE
1 - 2
UTR
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
WIL
3 - 2
UTR
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1998 |
SCH
1 - 0
UTR
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1998 |
FOR
3 - 1
UTR
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |