NAC Breda vs FC Amsterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
TEL
2 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
NAC
0 - 2
AZA
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
TWE
3 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
AZA
2 - 1
AMS
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
AMS
1 - 0
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
PSV
3 - 1
AMS
79%
14%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
AMS
0 - 1
RJC
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
ADO
5 - 1
AMS
47%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |