NAC vs Ostbahn XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
68.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GER
4 - 0
NAC
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 3
STA
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 6
TEA
21%
22%
58%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
GER
4 - 0
NAC
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 3
FAV
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
OST
3 - 4
ADM
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
POS
0 - 4
OST
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SIM
0 - 2
OST
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
OST
0 - 3
DON
72%
16%
11%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
WIE
1 - 1
OST
16%
20%
65%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |