MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
MVV
2 - 4
JUT
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
HEL
1 - 2
MVV
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MVV
0 - 3
ALM
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 3
MVV
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
MVV
2 - 3
ALK
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 4
TEL
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
EXC
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEL
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 1
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 5
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |