MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
MVV
1 - 3
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 1
MVV
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
MVV
0 - 0
TEL
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
MVV
2 - 0
FCO
65%
20%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
EIN
2 - 3
MVV
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
ONS
1 - 1
EXC
15%
20%
66%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 1
EIN
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 0
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
TEL
1 - 0
EXC
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |