Muungano vs Shark XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
32.5%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.5%
31%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muungano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
MOT
3 - 1
MUU
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
VCL
3 - 0
MUU
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
MUU
1 - 1
SAI
45%
31%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
MUU
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
DAU
1 - 0
MUU
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Shark XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 0
SAN
54%
27%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 1
SHA
53%
27%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 2
TPM
53%
28%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
VCL
0 - 0
SHA
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SAI
2 - 1
SHA
42%
31%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |