Muttenz vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
45.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCP
3 - 0
MUT
29%
21%
50%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BUM
2 - 3
MUT
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 4
MUT
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MUT
4 - 1
CON
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
MUT
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LER
3 - 2
BUM
80%
12%
7%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
LER
16%
20%
64%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 3
LER
55%
22%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
LER
4 - 2
POR
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 2
LER
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |