Muttenz vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FCK
1 - 2
MUT
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MUT
1 - 0
DOR
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MUT
1 - 1
ALL
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MUT
0 - 4
LIE
57%
21%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
MUT
1 - 5
BAS
4%
10%
86%
|
21 | 84 | 63 | -1 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LER
3 - 2
ALL
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LIE
2 - 1
LER
43%
23%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LER
3 - 0
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LER
1 - 2
LAN
36%
24%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
LER
20%
22%
59%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |