Muttenz vs Bassecourt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
2º
6º
5º
0
11º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
0 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 54 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
0 | 54 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 51 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
0 | 51 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 48 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 46 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 43 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 39 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 33 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
0 | 30 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
0 | 29 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 29 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
12% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
CON
1 - 2
MUT
55%
21%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SOL
2 - 0
MUT
40%
24%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
MUT
3 - 1
THU
76%
14%
10%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
WOH
0 - 3
MUT
49%
23%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MUT
3 - 3
RTK
73%
16%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bassecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
BAS
0 - 2
GRA
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 2
LAC
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 2
FCA
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCC
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
3 - 1
DEL
21%
21%
58%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |