Muttenz vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
54.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
RSZ
3 - 1
MUT
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIE
1 - 2
MUT
49%
22%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MUT
0 - 0
KRU
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DOR
3 - 0
MUT
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MUT
6 - 0
BIN
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AAR
1 - 3
LIE
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
KRU
1 - 2
AAR
14%
17%
69%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AAR
0 - 2
DOR
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BIN
1 - 2
AAR
20%
19%
61%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AAR
10 - 3
DAR
90%
7%
3%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | +1 |