Musongati vs Rukinzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musongati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BUM
1 - 2
MFC
51%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 0
NGO
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DYN
1 - 2
MFC
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MFC
3 - 0
KAY
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ANM
2 - 1
MFC
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Rukinzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RUK
1 - 1
TJU
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NOI
0 - 0
RUK
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
RUK
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RUK
1 - 0
LCR
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
RUK
0 - 0
NGO
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |