Musongati vs Ngozi City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musongati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
MFC
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MFC
3 - 1
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
MFC
2 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 2
MFC
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MFC
0 - 1
BUJ
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ngozi City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NCF
0 - 1
FLA
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BUJ
0 - 1
NCF
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NCF
0 - 0
ANM
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NCF
1 - 1
STA
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
INT
1 - 0
NCF
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |