Mushuc Runa vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
DEL
3 - 0
MUS
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 0
RIV
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
EME
2 - 0
MUS
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 0
CUE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
UCE
0 - 1
MUS
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
UCE
3 - 0
OCT
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
BSC
1 - 1
UCE
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
UCE
1 - 0
ORE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DEL
0 - 2
UCE
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
UCE
0 - 1
MUS
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |