Primera A Finals Final
Global 3-2
Mushuc Runa vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PQU
1 - 2
MUS
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
MUS
5 - 1
SSR
67%
21%
11%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MUS
3 - 0
ORE
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
MUS
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MUS
0 - 0
AME
53%
26%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CUE
0 - 1
AUC
33%
29%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 1
IVT
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 3
LIG
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
UCE
0 - 2
AUC
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 1
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |