Mushuc Runa vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
MUS
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DEL
2 - 1
MUS
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 2
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 3
IVT
36%
26%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
EME
3 - 2
MUS
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AUC
3 - 1
RIV
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
EME
2 - 1
AUC
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AUC
5 - 0
FAM
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
AUC
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
AUC
2 - 0
UCE
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |