Mushuc Runa vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 1
MUS
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MUS
6 - 1
DEL
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 0
MUS
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 2
EME
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CUE
1 - 2
MUS
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
OCT
4 - 1
LIG
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
OCT
1 - 0
UCE
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
BSC
1 - 0
OCT
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
EME
0 - 2
OCT
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
DEL
2 - 2
OCT
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |