Musan Salama vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BK4
2 - 1
MUS
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
HAK
2 - 2
MUS
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 65 | 43 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 1
EKE
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
SAP
0 - 1
MUS
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
PII
4 - 0
MUS
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PII
2 - 1
NAR
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MAP
3 - 1
NAR
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NAR
1 - 0
IKI
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TPV
1 - 2
NAR
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NAR
2 - 5
KER
54%
22%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |