Muro vs Tavernes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
TCF
4 - 2
MUR
24%
25%
52%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MUR
3 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ALG
1 - 2
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MUR
3 - 0
PEG
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LLO
1 - 1
MUR
27%
26%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tavernes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
TAV
1 - 1
CDT
29%
26%
45%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
RAC
5 - 2
TAV
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
TAV
0 - 0
BEN
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CDG
2 - 2
TAV
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAN
4 - 2
TAV
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |