Muro vs Tavernes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 0
MUR
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MUR
2 - 0
EMF
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 1
MUR
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 2
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 2
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tavernes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
TAV
1 - 1
BEN
52%
23%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
TAV
3 - 1
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 0
TAV
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
TAV
1 - 1
OLI
41%
25%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ALG
0 - 0
TAV
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |