Muro vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+197%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALG
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UDC
0 - 3
MUR
35%
24%
42%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
6 - 1
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
RAF
0 - 3
MUR
37%
24%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
JAV
1 - 2
MUR
43%
25%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PEG
1 - 0
UDC
31%
25%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ALG
2 - 1
PEG
42%
24%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PEG
4 - 1
UEG
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
UDC
3 - 0
PEG
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
TAV
3 - 2
PEG
37%
24%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |