Muro vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAN
5 - 0
MUR
63%
20%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
SDS
23%
24%
53%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ONT
3 - 3
MUR
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 3
TAV
15%
21%
64%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CUL
2 - 1
MUR
68%
18%
15%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALB
44%
24%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 3
CAL
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
SPO
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UDC
4 - 0
CAL
67%
20%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
UDC
31%
25%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |