Murici vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 3
SDJ
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 1
MUR
72%
19%
9%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALA
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
BAH
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
RFC
2 - 2
ITA
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
RFC
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
ITA
60%
23%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |