Murici vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
MUR
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 0
ATA
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
COR
3 - 1
MUR
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
MUR
4 - 2
COR
48%
25%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 1
ASA
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
CSA
2 - 1
CSE
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CRB
3 - 0
CSA
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CRB
0 - 1
CSA
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CSA
2 - 0
CSE
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 0
CSA
66%
21%
14%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |