Mures CF vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mures CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 0
CJA
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SAL
0 - 3
MUR
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 1
TRI
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
RIN
0 - 2
MUR
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAS
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PIL
2 - 1
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CJA
0 - 2
CAL
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CAL
3 - 0
SAL
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
TRI
0 - 4
CAL
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 2
RIN
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |