Mures CF vs Aznalcazar, C.D. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1421%
+97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mures CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 2
MUR
43%
24%
34%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
8%
16%
76%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ADP
4 - 1
MUR
80%
14%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
CIR
14%
20%
66%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
UMB
3 - 1
MUR
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aznalcazar, C.D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
AZN
5 - 2
SUE
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PIL
2 - 4
AZN
21%
21%
58%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 2
AZN
25%
22%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AZN
1 - 1
HER
21%
21%
57%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
VIL
9 - 1
AZN
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |