Murense vs Santa Mónica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALG
3 - 4
MUR
74%
15%
10%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 1
SVE
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 2
MUR
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
XIL
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 2
MUR
53%
23%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Mónica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
ESP
48%
22%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
STA
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 0
SAM
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
SVE
54%
21%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAM
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |