Murense vs Penya Arrabal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 2
MUR
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
MUR
0 - 0
PLA
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
GEN
1 - 2
MUR
33%
25%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 1
SCD
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
MUR
0 - 5
MNC
20%
26%
54%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +4 |
Matches
Penya Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 1
CLL
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SHO
0 - 2
PEN
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 0
SLL
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 1
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |