Murense vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
53.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
INT
2 - 1
MUR
51%
22%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAM
32%
26%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
FLN
2 - 1
MUR
50%
24%
26%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 3
MNC
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MER
0 - 0
MUR
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
CFP
32%
27%
41%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SRF
1 - 2
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CON
6 - 0
UDR
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
JOR
1 - 0
CON
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CON
2 - 1
SLL
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |