Murciélagos vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
MUR
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALT
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
COR
2 - 2
MUR
20%
24%
57%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 0
CIU
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BLN
0 - 1
MUR
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CIM
2 - 3
CAC
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CIM
0 - 1
LOR
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CIM
3 - 1
REY
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CUR
2 - 0
CIM
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CIM
1 - 0
TEC
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |