Murchante vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
IZA
3 - 1
MUR
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
4 - 5
PEÑ
16%
23%
61%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
MUR
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 0
VAL
32%
27%
41%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SJU
5 - 1
MUR
51%
26%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
UDM
5 - 0
AZK
77%
16%
8%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
UDM
0 - 1
HUA
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
IZA
1 - 3
UDM
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
UDM
2 - 2
IDO
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
UDM
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |