Murchante vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 1
AZK
19%
25%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
LAG
0 - 1
MUR
50%
24%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
RIV
1 - 0
MUR
60%
23%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 3
TUD
32%
28%
40%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
UDM
2 - 0
LAG
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 3
UDM
40%
27%
33%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
UDM
1 - 0
RIV
57%
23%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
TUD
0 - 2
UDM
48%
27%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
UDM
0 - 1
CHA
59%
24%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |