Murchante vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
77.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-87%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SJU
0 - 0
MUR
64%
21%
15%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
OBE
1 - 2
MUR
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 0
PEN
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 1
MUR
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 0
ABL
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
COR
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 3
PEÑ
22%
23%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
CDM
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CDM
1 - 0
PEÑ
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
PAM
91%
7%
2%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |