Murchante vs Mendi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
RIV
1 - 1
MUR
49%
26%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MUR
3 - 0
PEN
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 0
MUR
57%
23%
20%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
VAL
5 - 1
MUR
71%
18%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 1
SJU
36%
27%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MEN
2 - 2
HUA
23%
24%
53%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CDA
5 - 0
MEN
55%
23%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
MEN
1 - 2
OBE
26%
24%
50%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
IZA
4 - 0
MEN
76%
15%
8%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
MEN
0 - 2
LOU
26%
24%
49%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |