Muravera vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SSC
2 - 0
MUR
44%
23%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
4 - 2
CYN
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
MUR
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
LAN
35%
27%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ULD
2 - 1
MUR
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OST
1 - 2
SAS
45%
26%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ARZ
0 - 2
OST
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SSC
1 - 3
OST
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
OST
0 - 0
RMS
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SSC
1 - 0
OST
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |