Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
SGI
2 - 3
MUR
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
FAE
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 1
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 0
DOM
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
4 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 2
TFI
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
TFI
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
TFI
3 - 2
JUV
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 1
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TPE
0 - 2
TFI
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |