Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DOM
1 - 4
MUR
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
MUR
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 0
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FAE
2 - 1
MUR
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TPE
2 - 1
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 0
TFI
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 3
TPE
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
TFI
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TFI
2 - 1
FIO
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DOM
0 - 1
TFI
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |