Murata vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAI
77%
16%
7%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
COS
1 - 2
MUR
17%
22%
62%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
VIR
0 - 4
MUR
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
TPE
2 - 1
MUR
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
MUR
3 - 3
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 1
SGI
84%
12%
4%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
VIR
4 - 0
SGI
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
TPE
5 - 0
SGI
71%
19%
11%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
SGI
0 - 2
TFI
15%
22%
63%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
SGI
2 - 0
CAI
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +2 |