Murata vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
TPE
0 - 4
MUR
35%
25%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
FAE
0 - 1
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
MUR
3 - 0
JUV
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
VIR
0 - 2
MUR
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
MUR
3 - 1
SGI
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
0 - 0
COS
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
3 - 0
VIR
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
4 - 2
FIO
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
SGI
1 - 2
PEN
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
PEN
4 - 2
DOM
46%
23%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |