Murata vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 0
DOM
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 4
MUR
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
5 - 0
FAE
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 1
FAE
53%
23%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
5 - 1
DOM
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 0
DOM
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 3
JUV
34%
24%
43%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
COS
4 - 1
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
JUV
3 - 2
DOM
48%
23%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
5 - 1
DOM
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |