Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
VIR
20%
25%
55%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 4
MUR
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
FOL
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
MUR
13%
20%
66%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
COS
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
COS
6 - 2
PEN
86%
11%
4%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 5
COS
15%
24%
62%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
JUV
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TPE
1 - 0
COS
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |